JPMorgan Chase & Co., the largest U.S. bank by assets, saw its shares fluctuate in late February 2026 trading as investors digested recent company guidance, CEO Jamie Dimon's economic cautions and broader market pressures.

JPMorgan Chase set aside $902 million in reserves in case of bad loans, citing risk from high inflation and the Ukraine war
JPMorgan Chase

As of Feb. 27, 2026, JPMorgan Chase stock (NYSE: JPM) traded around $297 to $301 in intraday sessions, down from a previous close near $306 and well off its 52-week high of $337.25 reached in early January. The shares have shown resilience over the past year, gaining approximately 19% in some measures, but recent sessions reflected a pullback amid concerns over interest rates, AI impacts and macroeconomic risks.

The bank's market capitalization hovers above $800 billion, outpacing rivals Bank of America and Citigroup combined in valuation at times during the period.

In a Feb. 23 investor update, JPMorgan Chase provided an optimistic glimpse into 2026, nudging up its firmwide net interest income (NII) forecast to approximately $104.5 billion, including markets revenue. Core NII, excluding markets, is expected to reach about $95 billion, up from $92.6 billion in 2025. The guidance assumes two Federal Reserve rate cuts, a decline in interest on reserve balances and some deposit margin compression, offset by modest growth in consumer and wholesale deposits.

Investment banking fees and markets revenue are projected to see mid-teens percentage growth in the first quarter of 2026 compared to the prior year, potentially reaching high teens for IB fees. This outlook eased some investor worries about deal pipelines amid recent equity market volatility.

The bank maintained its full-year 2026 expense guidance at $105 billion while planning a 10% increase in technology spending to $19.8 billion. Executives highlighted investments in AI and new capabilities as drivers, despite cost pressures from inflation, hardware shortages related to AI chips and cloud infrastructure demands.

CEO Jamie Dimon struck a balanced tone in recent comments. He dismissed fears that AI would significantly harm the company, asserting JPMorgan Chase would emerge as a "winner" in the technology shift. However, he warned of potential job disruptions from automation and AI, urging preparation. Dimon also expressed heightened anxiety about the economy, drawing parallels to pre-2008 conditions in some market analyses, and reiterated plans to remain CEO for "a few years."

The bank beat expectations in its most recent earnings. For the fourth quarter of 2025, reported in January 2026, JPMorgan posted revenue of $46.77 billion and EPS of $5.23, surpassing forecasts of $46.25 billion and $4.86, respectively. Trading desks benefited from volatile markets, contributing to strong performance across segments. Full-year profits for major U.S. banks reached record levels around $300 billion in some reports, underscoring sector strength.

J.P. Morgan Payments, a key growth engine, achieved record $5.1 billion in Q4 2025 revenue, up 9% year-over-year, driven by deposit growth and innovations like JPM Coin.

Analysts remain largely bullish. Multiple firms, including Wells Fargo, RBC Capital, Piper Sandler and Barclays, maintained buy ratings in late February. Price targets include adjustments such as Truist's reduction to $330 from $334. Consensus estimates project moderate earnings growth of about 5.5% for 2026 and 7.6% for 2027.

Challenges persist. Reports highlighted ongoing scrutiny over past client relationships, including admissions related to accounts closed in 2021 amid a debanking lawsuit. Dimon addressed AI's broader workforce implications, noting the need for policy responses.

Broader context includes JPMorgan's role in market forecasts, such as raising long-term gold price targets to $4,500 per ounce while maintaining a 2026 year-end view at $3,300 in some updates. The bank also plans to exclude the UAE from certain emerging-market bond indexes by mid-2026 due to wealth threshold changes.

JPMorgan Chase declared preferred stock dividends recently and filed an $80 billion mixed securities shelf in February, supporting capital flexibility.

Investors watch for the next earnings report, expected around April 14, 2026, for the first quarter. Analysts forecast EPS around $5.37 and revenue near $48.62 billion.

Despite short-term dips, JPMorgan's diversified operations — spanning consumer banking, commercial banking, asset management and investment banking — position it well in a dynamic environment. The bank's scale, technology investments and consistent outperformance in recent quarters underpin analyst confidence in sustained returns.