Banco Bradesco S.A.'s American depositary receipts have traded in a tight range around $4.11 in late February 2026, closing at $4.11 on February 24 after a 0.98% gain, as the Brazilian lender builds on robust 2025 profitability and a multi-year transformation plan that has lifted return on equity and efficiency metrics.

Banco Bradesco
Banco Bradesco

As of February 24, 2026, Banco Bradesco (NYSE: BBD) traded in a session range of $4.045 to $4.155 with volume of approximately 27.8 million shares. The shares have fluctuated modestly in recent days, closing February 23 at $4.07 after a 2.86% decline, reflecting typical volatility in emerging market financials. Year-to-date in 2026, the stock shows gains following a strong 2025 close, with a 52-week range from approximately $1.93 to $4.28 and market capitalization around $21-22 billion.

The performance follows Bradesco's fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter and full-year results released February 5, 2026. The bank reported recurring net income of R$6.5 billion ($1.2 billion) for Q4, up 20.6% year-over-year, and full-year recurring net income of R$24.7 billion, a 26.1% increase. Return on average equity reached 15.2% in the quarter, surpassing the bank's cost of capital for the first time under its five-year transformation plan launched in 2024. The plan has driven credit portfolio expansion of 11%, insurance results growth of 16.1%, and an efficiency ratio improvement toward 50%.

Revenue for Q4 2025 stood at approximately $6.85 billion (R$36.1 billion in local terms), beating estimates by about 6.37%, while EPS of $0.114 met or narrowly missed some forecasts. Net interest income after provisions and fee income contributed strongly, with management emphasizing disciplined risk controls and digital channel expansion that reduced cost-to-serve metrics significantly.

On the earnings call February 6, executives highlighted the transformation's success in normalizing profitability after prior credit challenges. The bank reaffirmed 2026 guidance for mid-to-high single-digit loan growth (planning point near 9.5%), net interest income after provisions in the R$42-48 billion range, fee income growth of 3-5%, operating expense increases of 6-8%, and insurance/pension growth of 6-8%. The guidance reflects cautious optimism amid Brazil's economic backdrop, with CET1 targeted near 11% and interest-on-equity payouts exceeding R$15 billion.

Bradesco has pursued shareholder returns aggressively. The board approved a new buyback program and maintained monthly interest-on-equity payments, with recent declarations including R$3 billion interim payouts completed in January 2026. A fully digital shareholders' meeting is set for March 2026 to address capital and governance matters.

Analysts view the results positively, with consensus leaning toward Buy or Hold. Average 12-month price targets hover around $4.00-$4.50, implying limited near-term upside from current levels but recognition of undervaluation relative to peers like Itaú Unibanco. Seeking Alpha commentary in February 2026 described Bradesco's re-rating case as "still alive," citing controlled risk, growing profitability, and potential for further multiple expansion as transformation benefits accrue.

The bank continues digital investments, including enhanced platforms and partnerships in tech and health sectors, to capture affluent and SME clients while optimizing its physical footprint. Operating expenses grew 8.5% in 2025 in line with expectations, supported by footprint rationalization.

Challenges include macro risks in Brazil—interest rates, inflation, and potential slowdowns—along with competition in retail and digital banking. Guidance appears conservative compared to some investor expectations, contributing to post-earnings share price pressure in early February.

The next earnings report, for Q1 2026, is expected around late April or early May 2026. Investors will monitor loan portfolio execution, margin trends, and any refinements to full-year guidance amid evolving economic conditions.

Banco Bradesco, one of Brazil's largest private banks, maintains a strong franchise through its retail network, insurance operations, and digital advancements. Record profitability, elevated ROE, and disciplined capital management position it well for sustained performance in 2026, even as guidance signals measured expansion. With shares trading at attractive multiples and transformation gains materializing, Bradesco remains a key play on Brazil's financial recovery and banking sector resilience.