MARKETS

Australian Stock Market Report - Morning 21/03/2011

The Group of Seven nations intervened in currency markets on Friday to reduce the value of the Japanese yen - the first co-ordinated intervention since 2000. A strong yen would hamper economic recovery in Japan.

FNArena Surveys Investor Sentiment

From now onwards, FNArena will survey investor sentiment in Australia in an effort to generate, over time, a similarly leading gauge as the AAII Investor Sentiment Survey in the US. You are hereby invited to participate by expressing your personal view on the share market. The survey takes up a few minutes only. As we do this in coordination with the Australian Investors Association (AIA) we ask m...

DIARY: Japan, Libya, US GDP, Australian Stability

Japan, the situation in Libya and other states in the Middle East, the NSW election and a moderate flow of economic data here, in the US and Europe will dominate this week.Hopefully events this week will be better for Japan and global markets.Friday night's intervention to boost the value of the yen by the Group of Seven major economies will help settle last week's volatility.The situati...

Uranium Update

By Greg PeelIn this week's regular uranium report (Uranium: A New Dynamic) I noted that pre-quake trade had the uranium spot price rising for the first week in many, by US$1.00 to US$67.75/lb on industry consultant TradeTech's weekly indication. It's all academic now of course, given the situation in Japan has thrown the global uranium industry into turmoil.Fellow consultant UxC published its week...
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The Overnight Report: No New News Is Good News

By Greg PeelThe Dow rose 161 points or 1.4% while the S&P gained 1.3% to 1273 and the Nasdaq closed up 0.7%.If I had told you last week that the Dow was up 160 points on a night oil was up four dollars you'd have thought it was a typo. But that's where we find ourselves, only one week after a period in which rising oil simply meant falling stocks.Last night MENA was firmly back in the frame. Tensi...

US Economy: Beware The Housing Slump

In 2007 the US housing sector and all the exotic securities than hang off dodgy valuations, falling prices and going broke homeowners smothered the US financial system and economy, producing the 2008 crash and crunch.In 2011 the US housing sector remains broken and is in danger of smothering, or at best severely retarding America's stuttering economic recovery.In its post meeting statement th...

Banks: Tough Times Ahead

A speech this week by a senior executive at the Reserve Bank should force all investors to reassess their holdings (if they have them) in Australian banksIn short, if you are looking for capital gains in the next three years from bank shares, which dominate the local market, then think again.And if you are income driven, the banks will find themselves under increasing pressure to drive earnings hi...

Japan: Ignore The Alarmists, Especially Where Australia And Quakes Are Concerned

The early gloomsters are out and about proclaiming that Australia will suffer from any sell off of Japanese investments or from any slump in Japanese economic activity as a result of the quake, tsunami and nuclear crisis.Many of these 'experts' are the same who saw collapse and debt crisis in the GFC for Australia, and have yet to get around to correcting some of their more outrageous co...

China's Inflation Problem

- Oil is China's biggest import- Oil price strength pushing inflation higher- Currency revaluation should followBy Greg PeelAs Libya descended into civil war and Saudis threatened a Day of Rage, the price of Brent crude reached a peak above US$116/bbl. The Saudi protest did not materialise and thus took some of the heat off the oil price, but it is the immediate reaction to the Japanese earthquake...

The Overnight Report: Alarmist Comments Fuel Stock Meltdown

By Greg PeelThe Dow closed down 225 points or 2% while the S&P lost 2% to 1256 and the Nasdaq dropped 1.9%. The S&P is now one point down for 2011.I suggested yesterday that Prime Minister Kan appeared to be keeping the world up to date with developments – a far cry from the Chernobyl incident in Russia which saw the first alarm raised by Sweden. The Japanese are renowned for their calm in a...

World Market Overview 17/03/2011

The Australian share market closed in the black for the first time in the past six trading sessions, triggered by strong gains in Tokyo and buoyed by bargain hunting.

Australian Stock Market Report - Morning 17/03/2011

US producer prices rose by 1.6pct in February - marking the largest monthly increase in 18 months. In the 12 months to February producer prices were up 5.6pct. Energy price surged by 3.3pct in February.

Reports: Rio Confident, For Now

A rather bullish outlook from major miner Rio Tinto in its 2010 review released yesterday helped the shares rebound nearly 2% in yesterday's steadying market.The shares rose $1.53, or 1.98%, to $78.94 after being as high as $79.52 in the morning as investor sentiment about stocks, especially commodities and uranium miners (Rio has a mine or two in Australia and South Africa), recovered from T...

No More Free Online Digital Music?

Music and record-producing companies will soon realize the untapped potential of digital music subscription that will also curb the availability of free music downloads online.

At Last, Good News From Europe

- The eurozone has surprised by suddenly announcing new agreements- The bail-out fund is now bigger and concessions have been made to Greece- It's an improvement, albeit still not enough to cover Italy- But it may yet prove a turning pointBy Greg PeelLast week the world was distracted by MENA uprisings, including planned Saudi protests and the ongoing civil war in Libya. But Europe was suddenly ba...

Daily Forex Forecast 16/03/2011

News of another explosion at the Fukushima nuclear power station sent shockwaves through global markets. With the Nikkei plunging more than -10%, the largest one day decline since 1987, risk liquidation accelerated weighing the Aussie down. Initial reactions saw the Australian Dollar slide to 0.9925 against the Greenback.

World Market Overview Report 16/03/2011

U.S. stocks sank Tuesday as worries deepened over the specter of a nuclear crisis and economic slowdown in Japan, but encouraging comments from the Federal Reserve kept the losses in check.

Material Matters: Japan's Disaster And Commodity Markets

- Experts are trying to assess Japan's earthquake and commodity market implications- LNG, Coal likely winners- Long-term contracts to support uranium- Oil price forecasts also liftedBy Chris ShawThe full impact of the damage and losses suffered in Japan in the wake of the earthquake and tsunami that struck on Friday afternoon still cannot be accurately assessed, but with markets remaining open bro...

The Overnight Report: We Just Don't Know

By Greg PeelThe Dow closed down 137 points or 1.2% while the S&P lost 1.1% to 1281 and the Nasdaq dropped 1.3%.The first thing to note here is that Australia is currently leading Wall Street rather than following it as usual, given the critical situation at present is in the Asian time zone. Having fallen 6% on Monday, yesterday the Nikkei fell another 10% as the focus moved from the cost of the t...

The Fed: No Change

Don't expect too much in the way of changed language from the post meeting statement from the Fed.In reality not much has really changed from the last meeting in January.A small improvement in the jobs market is being offset by fears the damage that could flow from oil prices above $US100 a barrel and petrol prices between $US3 and $US4 a gallon.Inflation fears are overdone; the overhang of u...

The Economy: No Move On Rates

Australian interest rates will be on hold for a while longer as the central bank confirms that it will ignore short term blips and troughs in inflation and other data caused by the floods and bad weather.In the minutes of the March 1 board meeting, released yesterday the RBA said."Members confirmed that the Board's approach would be to look through temporary effects caused by extreme weather ...

Could The Quake Actually Benefit QBE?

By Greg PeelIs the world about to end? Fans of the Book of Revelation may be somewhat inclined to believe so, but seismologists recently interviewed by the media have played down the implications of the seemingly endless stream of seismological events the world has suffered over the past couple of years, noting that such activity usually occurs in clusters. Eventually the earth will settle down ag...

At a glance: Australian business reacts to Japan quake

Australian uranium exporters spearheaded a fall in Australian's stock market Monday after a devastating earthquake and tsunami last week hit Japan, Australia's second biggest trading partner behind China. Insurers and agricultural companies also fell, while steelmakers, oil refiners and clean energy producers were among a handful of gainers. The S&P/ASX 200 was down 1.2% at 4588.3 points around 0220 GMT after earlier hitting low of 4564.1.

Uranium: A New Dynamic

By Greg PeelRegular readers of this weekly report will appreciate that it summarises activity in the spot uranium market from the week before as noted by industry consultant TradeTech, and notes the indicative price for the week set by TradeTech. While this week's report will briefly summarise last week's activity, let us be clear all reported transactions occurred in blissful ignorance of what wa...

Daily Forex Forecast 15/03/2011

The Australian Dollar weakened against the US Dollar as Japan's biggest earthquake dampened demand for higher yielding assets.

World Market Overview 15/03/2011

U.S. stocks fell to six-week lows Monday as investors worried about the financialfallout from Japan's devastating earthquake and tsunami.

Asian Equity Investment Requires Caution

- Asian stocks have been undervalued on US economic strength vis a vis Asian tightening- The potential is there for a strong June quarter- QE2 uncertainty nevertheless throws up risks- Australia is a foreign proxy for Asia By Greg PeelAsian equities have been a popular destination for foreign investment flows post-GFC given the disparity between soaring emerging market GDP growth compared to strug...

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